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".....It's hard enough getting a single up which you even admit yourself in a round about way. You can have the greatest pitcher ever on your side but you'll not win if he's off on the night. The more teams you bet, the more chance there is that you'll be on a top pitcher whose off. If you can't win backing singles, how on earth do you expect to win betting accumulators? Just because a team is 1/2 or 1/3 doesn't mean to say they'll win. Like tai says, Betting on baseball is like betting on everything else - it's all about value. If you think a team should be 5/6 and they are trading at 5/4, then that's a value bet. Price the matches up before you see the bookmakers odds available and take it from there. 99% of gamblers don't have any patience or are prepared to put in the hard work - they all want that big win and quickly - and all end up losing. Singles is the only way to win at Baseball or any other betting medium.
If you are only betting £50 stakes then settle for £40-£60 profit each bet. As the tortoise said to the hare "Slow and steady wins the races. Well i think Programme Girl will come out on top here as long as there is a decent gallop, and im quite sure that one of the mules in the race will oblige! Here are my reasons why. The reason for the hard win last time was in my eyes a track (sedgfield) that was way to sharp. On top of that Programme Girl had to make most of the running which obviously didnt suit, will like the ground(proven) and trip (would stay further). This should be a two horse race, Programme Girl is the better horse on form, Hawkwell will improve but how much? We will see .My own pace ratings put Programme Girl ahead. N.Richards not had the best time of it lately./1 was a great price.
I've taken some 6/1 on here and 5/1 with Willhelm.
As well as a brilliant run on ground softer than he prefers, there are question marks about the opposition. The hope is for faster ground in 2 weeks. Sakhees Secret is exciting but it will be tough for a 3yo to land this. Will the Australian's stay around? And the rest haven't shown the form that suggests they are potentially better than Asset on faster ground.
The one I was very interested in was Bygone Days, who ran a stormer in 6th, but they are adamant he wants very soft ground to be even better and I can't see him getting that in July, even in this country........"
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